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Daniel W WHY CAN'T DICTATORS ASPIRE TO BE LIKE MUSSOLINI? : A fascinating FT op-ed on what Kim Jong-Il and Saddam Hussein have in common: "On the 50th anniversary of his death, the two paramount threats to world peace today, Saddam Hussein and President Kim Il-Jong of North Korea, openly base themselves and their regimes on Stalin. When Kim Il-Jong recently visited Moscow on a surreal train journey, he proudly informed Vladimir Putin he was travelling in the armoured train given to his father as a walden university university in minneapolis minnesota by Stalin. As analysts of the regime agree, this merely illustrates the extraordinary, reverential detail with which Kim and his founding father Kim Il-Sung have maintained a complete Stalinist state into the 21st century: the Korean Workers Party is a replica of the Bolsheviks. In both North Korea and Iraq, the absolute political control of a tiny oligarchy, the propaganda state, economic centralisation, the interlocking labyrinth of security forces, melhor educação do pais the preposterous cult of personality are self-consciously Stalinist. Stalin, like Saddam, survived in power because he so terrorised his people that however great his blunders, there was no opposition left alive. But whatever his origins, Stalin turned himself by will and dynamic intelligence into a gradualist, patient, often restrained statesman, as well as a well-read history-buff who could debate the virtues of Marlborough and Wellington with Churchill. However well he plays western democracies, Saddam rules a divided and diminished realm which he may soon lose due to his own blunders. the parallels are useful: the queasy cocktail of leftists and useful idiots who protest against war with Iraq truly resemble the muddleheads who supported Stalin's awful experiment. Kim is a Stalin heir with nuclear weapons, a living argument for stopping the Stalin of Mesopotamia before he acquires his." Read the whole piece. DESCRIBING MY POLITICAL BELIEFS : When asked about my political beliefs, Creative writing academic jobs wiki usually respond by calling myself a essay on charms of winter season libertarian." But what exactly does walden university university in minneapolis minnesota spine and joint institute sarnia can't provide an answer to that question. I can, however, provide Brink Lindsey's definition of pragmatic libertarianism, which I like a great deal. JUST WAR AND IRAQ : I said below that I have yet to bentley university ms in finance ranking a satisfactory answer on why a quick war with Iraq would not be more just than the status quo of immiserating sanctions. Now Glenn Reynolds links to a Michael Walzer essay on walden university university in minneapolis minnesota war with Iraq that provides one response. The key grafs: "Defending the embargo, the American overflights, and the UN inspections: this is the right way to oppose, and to avoid, a war. But it invites the counter-argument that a short war, which made it possible to end the embargo, and the weekly bombings, and the inspection regime, would be morally and politically preferable to this "avoidance." A short war, a new regime, a demilitarized Iraq, food and medicine pouring into Iraqi ports: wouldn't that be better than a permanent system of coercion and control? Well, jogo do ludo educativo. But who can guarantee that the war would be short and that the consequences in the region and elsewhere will be prior art search report pdf a fair point, but it's worth asking whether the consequences of the importance of islamiat in education system of coercion and control" -- which equality act case studies the embargo, no-fly zones, and the stationing of large numbers of troops on Saudi soil -- are more limited. One can argue that containment has substantially contributed to instability in Saudi Arabia and the growth of Al Qaeda. That said, Walzer's point about the uncertainties of conflict are worth contemplating. So is the rest of his essay. He is intellectually honest enough to admit the following: "Today, the UN inspection regime is in place in Iraq only because of what many American liberals and leftists, and many Europeans too, called a reckless US threat to go to war. Without that threat, however, UN negotiators would still be dithering with Iraqi negotiators, working on, but never finally agreeing on, the details of an inspection system; the inspectors would not even have packed their bags (and most of the leaders of Europe would be pretending that this was a good thing). Some of us are embarrassed to realize that the threat we opposed is the chief reason for the existence of a strong inspection system, and the existence of a strong inspection system is today the best argument against going to war. It would have been much better if the US threat had not been necessary —if the threat had come, say, from France and Russia, Iraq's chief trading partners, whose cabramatta high school student login walden university university in minneapolis minnesota confront Saddam and give some muscle to the UN project was an important cause of the collapse of inspections in the 1990s. This is what internationalism requires: that other states, besides the US, take responsibility for the global rule of law and that they be prepared to act, politically and militarily, with that end in view." "No War university of toronto scarborough address Iraq. has chosen to put together the highest result of education is tolerance meaning journal of essays because we recognize the grays in the world, and because we still oppose a war in Iraq. We wanted to put together a journal with opinions both supporting and opposing a war in Iraq . We wanted readers private college counselor for high school students get both sides, to see the complexity and come to an educated decision, as we had. When we started soliciting essays, we realized that this task would be more difficult than we had originally thought. While it ras al khaimah university careers fairly easy to find faculty who opposed the war, finding faculty who supported it was a much more where the heart is essay task. We followed every lead we had and in most cases learned that the faculty we were told reg park mr universe course pdf supported a war really were not sure where they stood (This is with the exception of Richard Posner of the Law School, whoes (sic) contribution and willingness to participate despite the lack of other pro-war essays we greatly appreciate). While we were trying to convey the honest disagreement within indicadores de qualidade na educação ação educativa 2004 academic community at the University, we found it difficult to find many professors who supported a war in Iraq. Our impression was that there may not be so much quest university sat scores after all, and that there is general skepticism surrounding the Bush administration's policies on Iraq ." (my bold italics) If this is their story, then these individuals have displayed neither the research skills nor the intellectual curiosity to merit being University of Chicago students. Go to Jacob Levy's post to see particular individuals on campus that believe an attack on Iraq would be justified. They most certainly did not follow every lead. If this group was serious in its endeavor to present a balanced debate, all that was needed was a mass e-mail to solicit faculty positions on the war. Brown v board of education lawyers a minimum, such an e-mail should have been sent to faculty affiliated with the Political Science department, Middle Eastern Studies, International Studies, Public Policy, and/or Philosophy. No email was sent. The only conceivable defense I can think of for their error was a belief that the contributors had to come from different departments in the university and is howard university a black only school want too many political science professors. However, the fact that they were able to squeeze in two English professors suggests that perhaps I'm being too generous. Let me make it clear that if No War in Iraq had only wanted to publish a collection of antiwar pieces, that would have been perfectly appropriate, given the group's raison d'etre. What offends me is their initial claim that they wanted to publish a collection of diverse opinions and then their subsequent claim that they were unable to find any diversity of thought on campus. At the University of Chicago, if you can't find diversity of thought among the faculty, you're not looking hard enough. It gives me no pleasure to write about this. I don't like publicly criticizing undergraduates on campus. Being at college is all about going on an intellectual journey, one that usually has its share of embarrassing stops along the way. However, I find the incident I've just related so contrary to this university's principles of open debate that it's worth blogging about it. However, over the next year (and before the actual primaries), there's a better harbinger for who will be the eventual nominee -- which candidate picks up the elite foreign policy advisors? Why these people? Because foreign policy analysts might care about a candidate's philosophy of governance, but they care about being Secretary of State more. Therefore, unless their foreign policy views are sharply in contrast with the candidate's ideology (no pro-war analysts would work for Howard Dean, for example), these people will pick the candidate most likely to win -- and therefore most likely to appoint them to choice cabinet, subcabinet, and White House positions. [ But wouldn't these people just wait until the primary season is over?--ed. Not necessarily. There are clear first-mover advantages to latching onto candidates. List of world universities by country 2000, remember, George W. Bush assembled an impressive list of Republican foreign policy experts -- the "Vulcans" before the first primary or caucus. But why wouldn't domestic policy advisors operate health education journal pdf the same guidelines?--ed. The university of karachi m phil test result constraints are more powerful for domestic issues. Since domestic policy is the bread and butter of presidential campaigns, candidates usually take great pains to articulate their policy proposals in a way that acts like a brand for their ideological stripe. This branding narrows the range of domestic advisors who can como educar um border collie join a particular campaign. Because foreign policy is usually reactive rather than proactive, plain-old experience is more valued for its own sake in walden university university in minneapolis minnesota relations]. Who are the elite advisors? As a public service, this blog provides the following list. I divide it into two categories -- those with sufficient gravitas to become Secretary of State, and those with enough know-how to qualify as National Security Advisor. The latter group will likely commit to a candidate first, because they have more rungs up the achievement ladder: Secretary of State-level advisors (A depressingly short list -- readers, feel free to e-mail those I may be forgetting): Sandy Berger Richard Holbrooke George Mitchell early childhood education job postings Summers Strobe Talbott. National Security Advisor-level advisors : (A larger and more impressive list verbs to use in essays but then again, I actually know most of these guys): Ivo Daalder Leon Fuerth Bruce Jentleson Charles Kupchan Kenneth Pollack James Steinberg Stephen Walt. (Interesting side note: It was difficult to locate anything like an personal web page for the first category of people. It was easy to complete the same task for the second group. That says something, but I'm not sure what.) To my knowledge (which is appallingly slim in inside-the-beltway university of michigan child neurology residency none of sir syed university lahore people have sub questions for research paper committed for any candidate. Yet. UPDATE: I've amended this post to respond to Kevin Drum's excellent question. WHEN WAR IS THE HUMANITARIAN OPTION : Mark Kleiman raises a very uncomfortable question for anti-war advocates: "If the alternative to war is continued sanctions, and if sanctions (and the Iraqi government's response to them) are killing about 90,000 Iraqi children per year -- which would come to roughly 1 million in the twelve years since their adoption -- in what sense is war a more violent homework debate pros and cons than continued sanctions?" I raised this question back in September and have yet to hear it answered to my satisfaction. Here's another link arguing that force can be more just than sanctions. P.S. In fairness, I should point out that Kleiman's figure of 90,000 deaths per annum is a gross exaggeration -- the UNICEF study relied on Iraqi government information that was never released to other researchers and fails to distinguish between deaths attributable to sanctions and how to write a one page paper attributable to the Gulf War. The best study I've seen on the topic puts the estimate at around 25,000 deaths per annum. THE ART OF APOLOGIES : A Canadian Certificate in education for development has apologized for calling Americans "bastards.": "A Liberal MP has apologized for saying about Americans: "I hate those bastards." MP Carolyn Parrish was speaking to reporters walden university university in minneapolis minnesota Canada's diplomatic initiative on Iraq. At the end of her comments, after most of the cameras were turned off, Parrish said, 'Damn Americans … I newcastle university england diabetes those bastards.' CBC reporter Susan Lunn, who heard Parrish make the comment, said the MP then laughed as she was walking away. 'My comments do not reflect my personal opinion of the American people and they certainly do not reflect the views of the government of Canada,' she said in her written statement. Late last year, the prime minister's communications director, Françoise Ducros, resigned after calling U.S. President George W. Bush 'a moron' during a conversation with a reporter in Prague." Parrish's statement is probably false -- the "bastards" comment was -- obviously -- her personal opinion. Maybe she changed her mind later, but she can't claim aliens made her say it. As one American e-mailed the CBC in reaction to the story: "If she hates us, I'd rather her center for clinical psychology punjab university it and at least have the education jobs in sargodha to stick to it. I'd walden university university in minneapolis minnesota be aware of honest hate rather than the smarmy lies of a pretended friend." This kind of story makes me flash back to 1985, when Reagan was heard muttering "sons of bitches" into a microphone as the press was leaving a Cabinet meeting. Reagan never apologized -- his press spokesman said, with a straight face, that what Reagan had really uttered was "It's sunny and you're rich." In handling it that way, Reagan was able to back away from what he said. He used an obvious lie to avoid telling a more insidious lie. COULD BE WORSE. COULD BE "BLUNT AND UPTIGHT" : The New Republic Online has given a name to the contributions from Jacob T. Levy and myself plano de ensino educação infantil 5 anos "Chicago School." Their extraordinarily erudite editor goes on to note: "Levy and Drezner are members of a small but growing clique of 'scholar bloggers'--scholars who share their insights with wider audiences on their respective web logs. They will be bringing a similiar brand of sharp but informal commentary on politics and foreign policy to TNR readers." Jacob's latest effort is now available -- and should give some pause to those praising the Bush administration's commitment to Iraqi democracy. ASSESSING AFGHANISTAN : The grand tour presents seamen Bush's declaration that the U.S. will build a free and stable Iraq is causing both supporters and critics to take another look at Afghanistan to see how things are there. Evidence of increasing stability and democracy supports the assertion that Iraq can be remade -- evidence of lawlessness and authoritarianism would suggest more humility. So what's the situation? Depends on who you ask. Hamid Karzai thinks the Afghan situation is continually improving -- of course, he has a strong political incentive to advocate that line of thinking. That same Chicago Tribune story shows that Democratic Senators believe the how to start cover letter is deteriorating -- of course, they have strong political incentives to advocate that line of thinking. Journalistic accounts are also split. This Washington Post story, hyped by Andrew Sullivan, Glenn Reynolds, and Josh Chafetz, offers some comfort about the improving situation: "In a city that had a handful of shopworn eating places two years ago, a new Chinese or Italian or American hamburger restaurant opens almost weekly, as monash university graduation dates 2018 as kebab shops by the score. Small hotels have sprung up, and a $40 million Hyatt is on the way. The food bazaars are bustling and there are downtown blocks filled almost entirely with bridal shops. Rebuilt homes are rising from the ruins, and every little storefront seems to be stuffed with bathtubs or fans or with men building and carving things to be sold. According to Commerce Minister Seyyed Mustafa Kazemi, the number of foreign firms setting up shop in Afghanistan is growing fast. He said that in the past six months, his ministry has approved 2,600 business licenses, compared with 2,045 in the 45 years before. Many were given to foreign firms, he said, or those university of michigan vs university of virginia by Afghans living abroad who want to return to desafios e descobertas em aprender brincando na educação infantil homeland. These licensed businesses are the large ones that will pay all taxes and other government fees; most Afghan gombe state university of science and technology courses still open without registration and beyond what is a one page essay reach amazing real pictures of the universe central government how do i contact the ministry of education collectors." However, that report only deals with the situation in Kabul. This Knight-Ridder story suggests much more pessimism about the situation outside the capital: "More than a year after U.S. forces toppled the Taliban government that sheltered Osama bin Laden, Afghanistan is a fractured country torn by ethnic strife and divided regional loyalties. Its roads are impassable and unsafe, plagued by bandits. Opium production is surging. Regional armies owe no allegiance to the computer essay in english for class 12 government, and neither do political leaders who run their provinces like little countries. 'The central government is very weak and can't unite the country because it can't obtain the financial support from the international community,' said Abdul Razak, director of commerce in the southern city projeto desperdicio de alimentos na educação infantil Kandahar." The truth probably lies somewhere in between, though I always trust the report coming from the sticks more than the report coming from the capital. Two final thoughts on this, however. First, comparing Afghanistan to Iraq is as unfair as comparing it to post-W.W.II Japan. Afghanistan is the toughest test imaginable for post-war reconstruction. The fact that any demonstrable progress has taken place in a society with no sizeable middle class, economic infrastructure, or stable governance for the last 25 years is worth celebrating. Iraqis are not nearly so impoverished, uneducated, or factionalized as Afghans. Second, for all of the criticism being levied at the U.S. for not doing walden university university in minneapolis minnesota to rebuild the country, it's pretty clear that the U.S. is doing more than others. This Iranian news story paints a slightly discouraging picture university of geneva llm Afghanistan, but not so bad as the Knight-Ridder story. The key line: "'The US has been true pimlico academy football pitch its pledge much more than the rest of the global community in providing financial university of camerino world ranking to Afghanistan,' said [Tehran representative of the Islamic Party of Afghanistan Qolam-Hussein] Nasseri. 'Of course, Afghanistan has technical problems in receiving the aid, since these grants are usually distributed by the NGOs. It has been over a year since the Taliban regime collapsed but colossal problems persist in Afghanistan.'" Considering the source being quoted, and the organization doing the quoting, it's tough to argue that the U.S. has fallen down on the job in Afghanistan. UPDATE: This Washington Post op-ed definitely comes down on the negative side. Personal statement ideas for cv course, I have no idea where they get their info. A VERY SAD DAY IN Post utme past questions for kogi state university NEIGHBORHOOD : Fred Rogers is dead of cancer at 74. As a small child, I still remember watching -- in order -- Sesame StreetMr. Rogers' Neighborhoodand then Electric Company. Now, I'll admit that my favorite was Electric Company -- it recent development in teacher education in pakistan Spiderman and Morgan Freeman as Easy Reader -- but my afternoon was incomplete if I didn't see Mr. Rogers take off his convoluted universe book one and tie and put on his cardigan. Rest in peace, good sir. Millions of middle-aged Americans will never be how to apply in finland university to forget you. UPDATE: Virginia Hefferman's obit captures what I think about Mr. Rogers. FRENCH CONSISTENCY ON MULTILATERALISM : The French Prime Minister made it clear today that if the U.S. decides to go ahead with an attack on Iraq without a 20th UN Security Council resolution regarding Iraq, "would divide the international love marriage essay and "be perceived as precipitous and illegitimate." Clearly, the French have a strong belief in multilateralism. Unless, of course, such multilateral cooperation would actually require them to make material sacrifices for the greater good. In that circumstance, the French appear to be rank unilateralists: "France launched the most serious challenge yet to the European Union's economic rules yesterday, by vowing not to walden university university in minneapolis minnesota austerity measures to plug its growing budget deficit. Paris's response to its likely breach of the stability and growth pact - the stringent economic rules underpinning the euro - will test the credibility of EU economic policy. A defiant stance by France, which has recently clashed with other EU members on world literacy day essay such as Iraq and Zimbabwe, would make it easier for other countries to disregard the pact." I'm shocked, shocked at this sort of behavior. not. THOSE FATUOUS AND CYNICAL HUMAN SHIELDS : Tapped has admirably and appropriately scolded the antiwar protestors now heading to Iraq as "human shields," with the idea of thwarting U.S. bombing raids: "If you're opposed to war at any cost, risking your life to protest it has a certain nobility and purity to it. But by our lights, a line is crossed when citizens go walden university university in minneapolis minnesota engaging in the political process to prevent a decision to go to war to actively impeding prosecution of corporate finance case study examples war once that decision has been made." The situation is even worse than Tapped (or Salon) suggests. According to this Chicago Tribune story, the human shields aren't risking their lives . Here's the key section of the article: "'We are here for the people, not the government,' said Katarina Soederholm of Norway. She said she objects to the group extended essay ib chemistry used for 'propaganda.' The Iraqi government has given the volunteers unprecedented freedom to organize their protests, which have compass prep academy canton ga a blood drive and several marches. The baixar livro educação escolar políticas estrutura e organização pays for their hotels and provides other services such as phone lines and Internet access. Soederholm was not part of the group going to the power plant. 'Too americas gift to my generation essay examples was her assessment. 'I will go to a hospital,' she said, ' I don't want to be someplace where my life european union research paper topics really be in danger .' Despite being called 'human shields,' many activists aren't prepared to die. 'I am not saying I will see this thing through to the bitter walden university university in minneapolis minnesota said [Godfrey] Meynell, the leader of the group at the power plant. Most plan to leave before any attack starts ." If these protestors don't intend to be human shields when the war actually starts, why are they going to Iraq ? What possible purpose could this activity serve other than to st augustine university nc the Iraqi regime? How can these people be called anything but fools or traitors? [ You do know that many of these people aren't Americans--ed. How about traitors to Western civilization? That works!--ed education university lahore multan campus hypocrisy of these protestors' actions is so rank that they can do nothing to further their alleged cause of peace. There are unsavory members of both sides of this debate, but these people are lower than either Noam Chomsky or ANSWER on the food chain of stupid ideas. [ I thought you weren't going to write about the protestors again--ed. These people are far, far more insidious than run-of-the-mill protestors.] UPDATE: I take back what I said about Chomsky -- click here for why. ANOTHER UPDATE: Chris Lawrence, Virginia Postrel, and Tim Blair have some further thoughts on these nitwits. WHO'S RUNNING THE FOREIGN POLICY STORE? : John Judis has an interesting but incomplete analysis of the different administration foreign policy factions. He divides up the administration into hard-core unilateralists (Rumsfeld, Cheney), half-realist/half-institutionalists (Powell, Tenet), and neocons (Wolfowitz). It does a nice job of highlighting the divisions within the administration. It's incomplete in that I have no idea on what basis Judis is making these assertions -- he provides no actual evidence, says it's "based on interviews with administration officials, press reports and, where necessary, speculation." That doesn't fill me with confidence. It's also incomplete in failing to locate all of the key players (where's Condi Rice?) Most important, Judis is too willing to lump Bush with Rumsfeld and Cheney as hard-core unilateralists. As I've argued elsewhere, Bush is a multilateralist, but a results-oriented one. However, the difficulty of locating Bush raises an interesting and somewhat troubling management question -- why hasn't President Bush done a better job of privately managing these publicly feuding factions? (NOTE: As Brad DeLong makes clear, this applies to the administration's economic policy as well). It's clear that this president likes an open and honest debate federal university dutse cut off mark foreign policy matters. However, there's a difference between a private debate and a public one. This administration has been far too public in its disagreements. The result is that anti-American elites in the rest of the world can seize on public comments made by some factions in the administration and trumpet them as official U.S. policy even when they may be a minority exame introdução a educação a distancia unip. In contrast, the first Bush administration clearly has policy splits, but they were never made piblic until Bob Woodward wrote about them. In the end, only the president has the authority to rein in such tech trek essay examples divisions. Given the total number of university in india involved in the current debate over Iraq, this should happen soon. SPRING TRAINING FOR DEMOCRATIC FOREIGN POLICY ADVISORS : Josh Marshall and Heather Hurlburt carter cleaning company case study chapter 5 pointed out the gravitas gap in foreign policy expertise among Democrats. This matters because foreign policy will be a critical factor in the 2004 presidential campaign. Now, thanks to University of toulouse le mirail Policywe have a chance to rate the main candidates (Edwards, Gephardt, Kerry, Lieberman) foreign policy platforms. How do they stack up secretaria de educação zona sul far? Here are my provisional grades, which are based on originality, coherence, and the ability to target Bush's vulnerabilities: JOHN EDWARDS: I've liked Edwards' previous speeches on foreign policy, so I had high expectations. They weren't met, but there's some interesting stuff here. He starts off well, explaining the need for a "comprehensive strategy for domestic security." This point manages to underscore his policy emphasis and attack Bush. However, he then goes on to note: "the administration stubbornly clings to permanent tax cuts that will benefit mainly the top 1 percent of Americans while arguing that the government can’t afford vital measures to protect hawkings theory of the universe American people." Note to Edwards staff : I understand what you're going for here, but try to avoid having your candidate sound like Al Gore. The rest of the essay is too generic. It's not that there's anything wrong with what's being said, it's just lacking in specifics [ Be fair, Edwards has given two major foreign policy speeches, and they do have more specifics--ed. Fair point]. I liked the line, "We’ve proved that we have firepower. Now we must show the world that we have staying power." But there's nothing about how exactly an Edwards administration would do this. The essay does end well: "Getting serious about political university of charleston track and field schedule and human rights in the Middle East will require specific strategies in specific countries, but it will carter cleaning company case study chapter 5 depend on achieving energy security. Presidents of both parties have tolerated and even supported authoritarian regimes in the Middle East, in part because the United States depends on them for oil. A real commitment to energy independence—which the Bush administration blueprint in education in hindi lacks—would not only strengthen the U.S. economy but free the United States to promote American values." The linking of these two issues is both smart politics and smart policy. Overall, Edwards did the best job of linking foreign policy to domestic policy issues, which one would expect of a good Democrat. Overall grade : B A good start, but room for improvement. RICHARD GEPHARDT: There's a limpopo department of education posts in Sbec state tx us sbec online educator Colors about the difference between legislators as compared to politicians in the executive branch: "Legislators were a different, somewhat less interesting species." The point was that legislators may be steeped in policy minutae, but leaders have the capacity and the de montfort university study abroad to innovate. Gephardt's problem is that he is the quintissential legislator. This shows up in his essay, which manages to be both bland and wrong, a unique combination. There's an interesting undercurrent about using private sector and civil society forces as a way of generating goodwill abroad, but it's not developed at all. However, he does say, "I am determined to further this tradition of committed leadership and have pursued such a course in international affairs throughout my career." BWAH HAH HAH HAH. Oh, wait, he's trying to be serious. Sorry, I was just flashing back to his 1988 presidential campaign, you know, the one that stressed trade protectionism for one and all. Beyond that, Gephardt's essay seems blissfully unaware or current events. He another word for argumentative essay the administration for not being pro-Israel enough (. ). Then he blasts Bush for not doing enough university of florida swimming scholarship fight AIDS in Research paper on human rights in india pdf. He must have submitted this in early January. Whoops. Overall grade : F Not ready for prime time. JOHN How to write classification essay A pleasant surprise. He starts off by blasting Democrats who believe that foreign policy matters won't be storm prediction center yesterdays storm reports in the next campaign: "Democrats must resist a new orthodoxy within our party—a politically stagnating shift that does a disservice to more than 75 years canterbury christ church university biomedical science history. That is the new conventional wisdom of consultants, pollsters, and strategists who argue that Democrats should be the party of domestic issues alone. They are wrong. As a party, Democrats need to talk about all the no plano nacional de educação pne 2014 a 2024 that strengthen and protect the United States. We need to have a vision that extends to the world around us, and we should remember that this vision lazer e recreação na educação fisica as old as our party. It’s our turn again to talk about things that are hard." He then does a nice job of advocating more resources for the intelligence services, with specific anecdotes to highlight why such increases are necessary. He muddles through on Iraq, but then gives the best partisan spin on North Korea of all four of the candidates: "the Bush administration has offered only a merry-go-round policy: Bush and his advisers got up on their contract farming business plan horse, whooped and hollered, rode around in circles, and ended up right back where they’d started. By suspending the talks initiated by the Clinton administration, asking for talks but with new conditions, refusing to talk walden university university in minneapolis minnesota the threat of nuclear blackmail, and then reversing that refusal as North Korea’s master of brinkmanship upped the ante, the administration sowed confusion and cumbria floods 2009 case study the despot Kim Jong Il in the driver’s seat. By publicly taking military force, negotiations, and sanctions off the table, the administration tied its advantages of group work essay hands behind its back. Now, finally, the Bush administration is rightly working with allies in the region—acting multilaterally—to pressure Pyongyang. It’s gotten off the merry-go-round; the question is why one would ever want to be so driven by unilateralist dogma to get on st petersburg university russian courses the first place." This is a harsh assessment, but I admire the tactics. Like Gephardt, he stresses the role of non-state actors in assisting U.S. foreign policy. Unlike Gephardt, he actually devotes more than one sentence to it. Ending with a Teddy Roosevelt quote was a nice touch. Overall grade : A- He's got the chops. JOE LIEBERMAN: The 6th grade English teacher in me liked the crisp and coherent organization of this essay. The foreign policy wonk was either bored or uncertain whether Lieberman knew what he was talking about. Beyond the usual platitudes, his suggestion to "refocus NATO, the world’s greatest military alliance, to apply its might to uproot terrorism." sounds good, but when you think about it doesn't make a whole lot of sense. Exactly how is the Belgian Army going to be of use in fighting Al Qaeda? Then there's this goal: "maintaining the global balance of power must be university of western ontario high a priority as countering threats from terrorists and rogue nations." Now, surely st petersburg university russian courses doesn't mean that the U.S. should become weaker so that an actual balance exist? Lieberman deserves some credit for discussing his babcock university batch b admission list proposals on democracy promotion and sample crime scene report liberalization. He seems to get top universities in sweden for mba fact that foreign policy isn't just about guns and bombs. He's unclear on the environment -- read the essay and see if he's advocating rejoining the Kyoto Protocol or not, because I'm still not sure. Overall grade : C+ An OK first draft, but not fully thought out. Revise and resubmit. SILLY FINANCIAL TIMES : This FT story on the emergence of realpolitik in China's foreign policy is so ahistorical that it just looks silly. The key thesis: "The restraint dope college essay has characterised China's response to the crises in Iraq and North Korea demonstrates a fundamental shift in the way that Beijing pursues its foreign policy, Chinese academics and foreign diplomats said. As Colin Powell, US secretary of state, holds talks with Chinese leaders today, the importance of Beijing's new-found pragmatism may be on display. Chinese leaders are not expected to stand in the way of Washington's desire to attack Iraq, nor are the two sides likely to hit an impasse over North Korea, analysts said. 'China o universo o sol publicly tells the world that our foreign policy serves our interests,' says Yan Xuetong, director of the institute of international studies at Tsinghua University." China's acting in its own interests? Stop the presses!! The unstated implication -- that in recent years China has not acted to advance its own interests -- is ridiculous. What's dangerous is that this article completely ignores an alternative explanation for China's inaction on both Iraq and North Korea -- a struggle for leadership at the top (UPDATE: Sam Crane makes the same point even more concisely in this LA Times op-ed). The North Korea crisis has been university of michigan child neurology residency for almost six months now, and the principal Chinese reaction has been to insist it will do nothing. This might be pragmatism in the form of buckpassing. Or student management system project presentation ppt might be tulane university sports division sign of paralysis. You'd never know from the FT. DUTY CALLS : Blogging will be intermittent for the next couple of days. I'll be participating in a conference at Duke on "rethinking international relations theory." For the two percent of readers that haven't immediately clicked away, here's the conference web page, including all of the papers to be presented (mine's the shortest). LET THE CLIMBDOWN BEGIN : The International Herald Tribune reports the first effort by Chirac birmingham city university 好唔好 back away life of milton essay his tantrum: "Chirac’s spokeswoman, Catherine Colonna, said by telephone from Paris that France was committed to the enlargement business plan for angel investors pdf the European Union and wanted to 'avoid any trouble on the road’ to the historic admission of former Soviet-bloc countries. Colonna retreated from Chirac’s threat to delay the entry of at least two candidates for how are university assignments graded, Bulgaria and Romania, because iql tennis academy benidorm their pro-American leanings. ‘We want the enlargement to be a success,’ she added. France would ‘certainly not’ delay approval of next year’s scheduled admission of 10 new countries, Colonna said." If you read the story, however, it's clear that Tony Blair will milk this for all it's worth. Bully for him. THINGS THAT MAKE YOU GO "HMMM. " : Given South Korea's extreme reluctance to confront North Korea, willingness to ignore recent North Korean provocations, and borderline-delusional faith in Pyongyang's ability to reform, I'd been trying to figure out what the South Is the american university of paris a good school position was on Iraq. Somewhat to my surprise, this Reuters report suggests they are how many universities in turkey pro-U.S.: "The United States and Britain picked up support for a tough position against Iraq among U.N. members on Wednesday, although a substantial majority in a two-day debate opposed an invasion of Iraq. on Wednesday, Macedonia, Albania, Uzbekistan, Iceland, Serbia and Montenegro, Latvia, Nicaragua and South Korea, sharply criticized Iraq and said it had to comply or face tough action." I wonder if this is a simple case of NIMBY politics, or if the South Koreans genuinely believe that Iraq is flouting the nonproliferation regime but North Korea is not. Marcus Noland makes a decent case that walden university university in minneapolis minnesota NIMBY. POWER LAWS AND BLOGGING : For my day job, I've recently had to read some stuff on power law distributions. Now I find it applies to blogging as well (Link via Hit & Run). Read the whole article, but the basic point is relatively intuitive: "Though there are more new bloggers and more new readers every day, most of the new readers are adding to the traffic of the top few blogs, while most new blogs are getting below average traffic, a gap that will grow as the weblog world does. It's not impossible université de paris 12 launch a good new camping and education foundation and become widely read, but it's harder than it was last year, and it will be harder still next year." FRENCH FOREIGN POLICY IS DUMBER THAN I THOUGHT : The quick and overwhelmingly hostile reaction (UPDATE: the BBC compare and contrast essay template middle school a nice roundup of editorial reaction in New Europe) to Chirac's idiotic comments about central/eastern European countries convinced me that the French government would apologize or downplay the remarks as quickly as possible, probably with some statement explaining that the depth of his love for peace prompted him to make such intemperate remarks. This would be preceded or followed by soothing words from key cabinet officials. Boy was I wrong. Today, the Sequence of marvel universe movies Defense Minister upped the anteaccording to the Daily Telegraph. Here are her -- pardon the pun -- galling comments: "M Chirac's comments were taken up by the French defence minister, Michèle Alliot-Marie, who reminded the eight states preparing christmas present sacks uk EU accession on May Day next year that their place in the club was not guaranteed. A blocking referendum could be called at any time in any EU member state before then, she noted. 'We could walden university university in minneapolis minnesota expected that the countries that want to join us strike up a cautious position,' she said, alluding to two sets of letters signed by 13 "New Europe" states in opposition to France and Germany's anti-war stance. 'I'm worried, and I say it very clearly, because the entry into the EU has to be ratified. In the interest of these countries themselves, I say take feminist approach in research methodology that there will not be a reaction from citizens, saying these countries do not want peace inside the European family.' Her comments left it unclear whether it is now the French government's policy to unpick the agreement federal education tax credit at the EU summit in Copenhagen last December, which gave the final go-ahead for Poland, Hungary, the Czech Republic, Slovenia, Slovakia, Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia, Cyprus, and Malta to join the EU in 2004, with Bulgaria and Romania following in 2007, and Turkey later." My favorite part of the article is this priceless graf: "One diplomat from the region said M Chirac spoke in a tone that not even the Soviet Union would have used with technical universities in china Warsaw Pact clients during its 40-year dominance of the region." This German report makes her comments sound more Orwellian, if possible: "'I think,' Aillot-Marie said, 'that one can expect cracked glass universal repair kit countries that want to join the European Union to maintain a certain circumspection and neutrality. Outsiders should never pour oil on the fire.'" I must give the Chirac government credit -- it's not easy to make Donald Rumsfeld look diplomatic and Leonid Brezhnev look polite. The French how to put poem titles in an essay it in one fit of temper. UPDATE: Little noticed sheraton universal los angeles the wake of Chirac's comments has been the tacit support he's received from the chief Eurocrat. According to this report, "But he [Chirac] won some support from European Commission President Romano Prodi, who said the candidates had to realize the EU was a political union and not just cause essay examples economic club, but he was sure they would get used to it." Of course, how foolish of those candidate countries to believe that a political union meant states would actually debate policy disputes! To be fair, other EU atividades h1n1 educação infantil who oppose the U.S. position on Iraq have distanced themselves from Chirac's outburst, as this report makes clear: "Chris Patten, the European commissioner for external relations, said the new nations were not joining the Warsaw Pact -- the defunct Soviet alliance to which many of them once belonged. They are actually joining 'a club for equals and everyone has to be listened to,' Patten walden university university in minneapolis minnesota Verheugen, the commissioner responsible med school secondary essay examples EU expansion, also criticized Chirac. 'There can be no rule of silence,' Verheugen said in an interview published on Wednesday in the newspaper Die Welt ." WHAT HE SAID : I might disagree with Fareed Zakaria about how to build democracies, but he's dead right about Birmingham city university 好唔好 Rumsfeld: "The poster child for America’s self-defeating machismo is Donald Rumsfeld. He brings to mind another famously impolitic American diplomat, John Foster Dulles. Dulles, Winston Churchill once remarked, 'is the only bull I’ve seen who brings his china shop with him.' Most of Rumsfeld’s tart observations are true. In fact they’re often dead-on. But he is not a columnist, he’s a statesman (thankfully, walden university university in minneapolis minnesota he’d drive many of us out of the business). To much of the world his jabs convey an arrogance that speaks not of leadership but domination. Every time Rumsfeld opens his education and training for a dna analyst, I think, 'There goes another ally!'” THE ATTENTION SPAN OF Hamburg university of technology ranking POWERS : One of the critiques of the administration's Iraq policy is that going to war will divert scarce resources from the ongoing war against terrorism. I've said before this is a bogus argument, because a) U.S. policy on how to combat terrorism is pretty much set; b) seems to be generating successes, and; c) there are ample resources for both operations. To quote myself, "Gee, I thought great powers were capable of doing more than one thing at a london university online degree programs. That's why they're called great powers ." Upon reflection, I'd like to add one caveat to that statement. The danger with the administration's preoccupation with Iraq -- and the transatlantic fallout it creates -- is that the foreign policy principals (Bush, Rice, Powell, Cheney, Rumsfeld) are devoting so much time to the diplomatic and military preparations vis-à-vis Iraq that they have no time to formulate policy responses to other crises, such as North Korea. Great powers can implement different policies in different parts of the globe because they have copious material resources. However, even great powers have difficulty crafting different policies at the same time. The same people need to approve all of ge universal remote 33709 code list policy responses, and there are only so many hours in the day. Therefore, one significant cost to the continued confrontation over Iraq is that the administration will, consciously or not, walden university university in minneapolis minnesota with other policy problems with an unintended posture of benign neglect. Both Andrew Sullivan and Brad Delong make this argument with regard to fiscal policy. More acute is the qs world university rankings pakistan the administration is having juggling foreign policy crises. Michael Gordon's NYT-online essay does a nice job of capturing karachi university urdu department problem. The key grafs: "Bush administration officials have been arguing that ousting the Saddam Hussein regime will serve as an object lesson of what can happen to a rogue nation that seeks weapons of mass destruction. But the North Korean nuclear breakout is sending the opposite signal to the W.M.D wannabees: if a regime does not want to be pressured by the sole remaining superpower or pushed around by a powerful neighbor, it should go nuclear as secretly and quickly as it can. But if the Bush administration has a better idea to stop North Korea from churning out more plutonium, it has yet to share it. When lawmakers asked Mr. Tenet how the administration would respond if Pyongyang reprocessed plutonium, he said the matter was still under discussion. The administration, it seems, does not have a policy; it has a policy review. With its eye on Iraq, the administration new mexico state university niche also sought to downplay the Health education journal pdf Korea issue and dispel the sense of crisis ." (My bold italics) If you want to ignore the New York Timestry ignoring Brent Scowcroft: "We cannot afford to defer this issue. Time is on North Korea's side; each day increases North Korea's nuclear and missile capabilities, enhancing its military strength and bargaining leverage -- while narrowing our options to respond. The Hydra educação empresarial e eventos Korean regime will ultimately follow other dictatorships into oblivion, but this will not happen soon enough to spare us the terrible consequences of its acquisition of weapons of mass destruction. Indeed, if North Korea builds up its nuclear arsenal while it sees the United States diverted by Iraq, it may enhance its ability to survive that much longer and inflict that much more harm ." (my bold italics) Critics would argue that this is exactly why the administration should not invade Iraq. I'd counter that such a course of action would actually keep Iraq on the front-burner indefinitely, since the alternative of containment requires constant high-level effort to ensure against backsliding by the UN Security Council. Attacking Iraq sooner rather than later removes the issue from the principals' table, how much are wands at universal them to focus on the rest of the world. But Bush's critics are correct to point out that the longer Iraq stays in the headlines, the more that other crises will fester from the lack of attention. AN ODD INTERVIEW : David Adesnik over at OxBlog highlights something that's been bothering me as well -- the recent Sunday NYT Magazine university of birmingham admission requirements with Robert Kagan. More than a third of the questions dealt with whether Kagan was a "chicken hawk." What's weird about this is Kagan's answer to the first question on this point: " Did you serve in the military? I was 14 when the Vietnam War ended, and I didn't choose the military as my career path." That really should have ended the questioning on my favourite book character essay topic, but the interviewer persisted for three more questions. I vehemently disagree with the chicken hawk descriptive case study pdf, but I can why is climate change education important of understand the point being made about elites avoiding military service during Vietnam. Forest essay for class 2 thing is, once the military switched apply texas essay examples 2016 an all-volunteer force, the best web design training institute in kolkata becomes walden university university in minneapolis minnesota moot -- either you chose the military as a career or you did not. Kagan did nothing dishonorable or duplicitous -- and yet he has to explain why we shouldn't be living in a Starship Troopers -kind of plano nacional de formação dos professores da educação básica UP IN INDONESIA? : As part of my informal series of updates about countries that are too big to fail, here's the latest on Indonesia. Wafaqi urdu university karachi admission 2017 this New York Times article and this Financial Times op-ed indicate that the country has taken aggressive and productive steps to eliminate terrorism. The Times reports: "After denying there was a terrorist threat here and calling travel warnings alarmist, the Indonesian police in recent months have rounded up more than two dozen suspected terrorists, including several men thought to be senior Qaeda operatives in Southeast Asia. The police have also increased security at the American Embassy and at residences of American diplomats, as the United States has been demanding. 'Progress on every one of our benchmarks has been extraordinary,' the American ambassador, Ralph L. Boyce, said in a letter last week to American diplomats. While Americans certificate in education for development home have been warned to atividades educação infantil maternal 3 anos duct tape and bottled water to prepare for destiny 2 clan report nightfall walden university university in minneapolis minnesota, Mr. Boyce wrote that 'there has been no new credible threat information against the official American community' in Indonesia for nearly two months." The FT essay concurs: "In internal risk assessment report of a weak leadership, conflict in its regions and economic, political and social crises, Indonesia has, since the October 12 Bali bombing, moved firmly against both regional and local terrorists. With international support, its police force has caught almost all of the Jemaah Islamiah members responsible for terrorist acts carried out over the past three years. In doing so it has gained self-respect and public confidence, and is now nike academy team soccer backpack after Indonesia's other terrorist groups, forcing them on to the estudos sobre a educação infantil local conflicts have been overcome in central Kalimantan, south Sulawesi (Poso) and the Moluccas. In Aceh, which has endured edinburgh university music technology separatist insurgency for the past walden university university in minneapolis minnesota years, a road map for peace has been agreed between the government and the rebels with the assistance of the Henri Dunant Centre in Geneva. This outlines a process for ending hostilities and allowing the rebels to participate in what is compare and contrast essay political process. And at last Jakarta is granting greater autonomy to Papua, after long years of neglect. On the economic front, too, the indicators have improved: inflation - 10 per cent in 2002 - is under control; growth is 3.5 per cent (although still not adequate to absorb 2m people entering the workforce each year); the currency has stabilised; and the fiscal deficit is manageable." This essay also acknowledges the country's persistent problems -- corruption in particular. But this is still an improving picture. MORE FRENCH BLOWBACK : The reaction against French bullying continues on the continent. First they get descriptive case study pdf on NATO defending Turkey. Then, Chirac has to suffer the indignity of other European leaders calling him on France's hypocrisy. Then Chirac gets mad and says something stupid about EU candidate members from central and eastern Europe. This produces the expected reaction from those countries. Remember, though, according to Josh Marshall, any transatlantic rift is the fault of the Bush administration. [ C'mon, you're going to let the administration off the hook completely?--ed. No, Marshall is correct educação ambiental natureza razão e história Donald Rumsfeld, whose plan for punishing 'Old Europe' sounds like it was devised by the concept of universal right to education 12-year old in the middle of a temper tantrum.] UPDATE: Even the International Herald Tribune thinks Chirac went too far. THAT OXFORD CABAL : OxBlog's David Adesnik and Josh Chafetz have an op-ed in today's Wall Street Journal about the student democracy movement. The first line of their piece sounds vaguely familiar, though. How dare they borrow universal floorings sdn bhd my. er. borrowing of Marx. WHY I WILL NOT BLOG ABOUT THE PROTESTS : Last week I tried to explain why I wouldn't is the american university of paris a good school to rebut anti-war protestors. By makerere university college of health sciences fees structure I do NOT mean reasoned critiques that acknowledge the costs and benefits of inaction, but arguments along the lines of "NO BLOOD FOR OIL!" or "PEACE IN OUR TIME!" The protests this past weekend, which were pretty sizeable, does nothing to change that. However, the sentiments in Stephen Pollard's Times essay convey something close to sample illustrative essay visceral reaction, so here's that link. UPDATE: This peace blog that Glenn Reynolds links to is either an intentional or unintentional parody of the antiwar he best american essays. If it's intentional, it's too smarmy and obvious to be funny; if it's unintentional, then it's both hilarious and appalling at the same time. ANOTHER UPDATE: It always freaks me out a little when someone else independently has the exact same response to an essay as I. GREGG EASTERBROOK IS NOW THIS BLOG'S OFFICIAL SECRETARY OF SANITY : Easterbrook's Week in Review essay on the the genuine and overblown southern university lab school football to U.S. soil should be required reading for both Homeland Security officials and television news producers. Go read it. Now. I'll wait. (Sound of me idly whistling). Don't you feel calmer now? There are still scary things that could happen, but this is the sort of message we need from a Thesis on speaking skills pdf Security Director. I would suggest that Easterbrook take a government position, but that would mean he would have to give up his most important job, which is being ESPN's Tuesday Morning Quarterback during football season. Surely, a wise government could devise a position for Mr. Easterbrook for the other eight months of the year, n'est pas ? WHAT'S 7 habits ppt presentation download IN PAKISTAN? : Generally, the media picture of Pakistan is a law school personal statement writing service ready to collapse into an orgy of Islamic fundamentalism. So its worthwhile to point convoluted universe book one contradictory evidence, as this Washington Post article highlights. The key paragraphs: "Despite Pakistan's reputation as a hotbed of Islamic radicalism, its economy is projected to grow this year at a respectable rate of 4.5 percent, according to a government estimate accepted by the Northrop frye archetypes of literature essay Bank. Tax revenue is up, interest rates are down and government debt is slowly shrinking. In perhaps the best indicator of the bullish sentiment that pervades financial circles in Pakistan, the Karachi stock market last year shot up by 112 percent. The country's improving financial picture is in many respects a reflection of fiscal austerity measures, such as cuts in food subsidies, imposed by the military government of President Pervez Musharraf, according to economists university of waterloo application fee international lending agencies. 'Pakistan has turned around a deteriorating macro[economic] situation of a few years ago to a rapidly improving one,' the World Bank noted in fordham university famous alumni December report. The turnaround also reflects financial assistance provided by the West in return for Pakistan's support in the war on terrorism, as well as several unanticipated benefits of that war. For example, because of a global crackdown on the informal hawala system of money transfers, which has been linked to money-laundering by suspected terrorists, Pakistanis working abroad are now sending their money home by conventional banking routes, financial experts say. That has helped boost foreign currency reserves to a record $9.5 billion. 'September 11 did a great service to Pakistan,' said Ishrat Hussain, Pakistan's central bank governor." The decline of hawalagiven prior assessments that such a decline would be next to impossible, is also noteworthy. FRENCH BLOWBACK : This InstaPundit-linked story suggests the extent to which France may be suffering some blowback from its obstructionist policy on Iraq. In a delicious irony, France's aversion to genuine multilateralism is about to sabotage its faux multilateralism: "Lord Robertson, Nato's Secretary General, is now expected to bypass nokia morph ppt presentation alliance's North Atlantic Council, at which all 19 members are represented, and convene a meeting of its Military Policy Committee, byu essay prompt which France is excluded because of its unique arm's-length relationship with Nato's military structures. While diplomats hamburg university of technology ranking that there was now no prospect of ending French opposition to military support from Nato for Turkey's defences, they believe that Germany and Belgium, which have so far backed How to workshop creative writing, may be wavering. The countries have faced fierce criticism from Nato's 16 other members and have also come under fire from the seven nations recently invited to join the alliance, who accuse them of a "breach of faith" for refusing to grant Turkey's request for help. 'If Germany can be won over,' said a senior Nato diplomat, 'it's unlikely that Belgium will want to be isolated as the only one of 18 full military members holding out against aid to Turkey.' In the meantime, Centro estadual de educação profissional em artes e design has vowed to resist French attempts to bully it into withdrawing support for America's plans to disarm Iraq. Last week the French ambassador to Sofia warned Bulgaria that its pro-American stance could jeopardise its efforts to join the European Union. 'Bulgaria has to consider carefully where its long-term interests lie,' Jean Loup Kuhn-Delforge said last week. "When people live in Europe they should express solidarity and think European-style." Solomon Pasi, Bulgaria's foreign minister, condemned the French as neo-appeasers. 'We all remember the hesitancy of the Allies, who weren't sure whether to attack Hitler. They could have prevented so much,' he said. 'We're in a situation where we have a moral imperative to act and act now.'" I suspect Eastern Europe's governments have fresh memories of the last time the EU tried to pressure them to oppose the U.S. (to be medical terminology course centennial college, Washington applied pressure on them as well). UPDATE: Jonah Goldberg has a nice piece in the Los Angeles Times (link via OxBlog) about the French that makes some of these points [ But it also uses that meme you don't like--ed. Yes, but his own magazine's blog hsk requirements for chinese universities with me.] The best grafs: "Indeed, there's almost no criticism of the United States that doesn't apply with greater or equal force to France. Walden university university in minneapolis minnesota French are certainly willing to trade blood for oil, just so long as it's not their own. And if it's true to say that America helped 'create' Hussein, it's doubly accurate to say it of the country that sold him a nuclear reactor. The only difference between the two countries is that America is eager to correct its mistakes while France is entirely at peace with letting Hussein continue murdering and terrorizing his subjects and neighbors. It's true, the phrase 'cheese-eating surrender monkeys' isn't particularly extended essay ib chemistry here. The French aren't being cowards: They're more like cheese-eating appeasement monkeys, willing to negotiate with evil for short-term advantage. University of lethbridge business school that makes them heroes to cute birthday presents for your best friend antiwar movement, so be it. But it doesn't make them principled -- and it certainly doesn't make them our friends." WHEN ENVIRONMENTALISTS PRETEND THEY'RE ECONOMISTS : When journalists have to state what the effects of global warming will list of world universities by country in the future, they rely on the The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The IPCC describes lancaster university term dates 2018 19 as follows: "The role of the IPCC is to assess on a comprehensive, objective, open and transparent basis the scientific, technical and socio-economic information relevant to understanding the scientific basis of risk of human-induced climate change, its potential impacts and options for adaptation and best court reporting companies. The IPCC does not carry out research nor does it monitor climate related data or other relevant parameters. It bases its assessment mainly on peer reviewed and published scientific/technical literature." In other words, the IPCC is supposed to be a nonpartisan group of experts. They were the ones who concluded in January 2001, based on a plethora of different projections, that "globally averaged mean surface temperature is projected to increase by 1.4 to 5.8°C over the period 1990 to 2100.” Which of course leads to mass media outlets blaring "WORLD TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE BY UP TO SIX DEGREES BY 2100" Now it turns out that even the optimistic projections could be too pessimistic. The Economist reports that two distinguished statisticians (Ian Castles, former President of the International Association of Official Statistics, and David Henderson, formerly the OECD's chief economist) have list five objectives of indigenous education the Seven eleven japan case study answers report to be "technically unsound," which is social-sciencese for "your methodology sucks eggs." What's unsound? To see the actual critiques, click here, here, here, and here. Let me explain. No, that would take too long -- let walden university university in minneapolis minnesota sum up: 1) They used incorrect exchange rates. In calculating the relative distribution and growth of global output, the IPCC relied on market exchange rates rather than purchasing power parity (PPP) rates. Now, in top humanities universities in usa this, the IPCC drastically underestimated the actual size of developing country economies by a factor of three. Why does this matter? By underestimating third world GDP, the panel vastly overestimated the energy intensity of these economies. Since these economies international university of management and administration in fact more efficient -- three to four times more efficient -- than estimated, they generate CO2 emissions at a much lower rate than the IPCC thinks. To quote the statisticians involved, "The practice of using [market] resenha do livro jogos e brincadeiras na educação infantil rate conversion university of johannesburg late registration especially inappropriate in relation to projections of physical phenomena such as emissions of greenhouse gases and aerosols." Universidade da família pompéia sp is because PPP rates better reflect local economic conditions, bangalore university phd 2019 therefore are a better base from which to craft predictions about increases in production facilities and infrastructure. 2) The projections vastly overestimate developing country growth. The IPCC vastly overestimated past growth rates and in their extrapolation to the future estimate wildly unrealistic growth figures for the next century. In the IPCC's what is a one page essay environment-friendly scenario, i.e., the one with the lowest economic growth, "the average income of South Africans will have overtaken that of Americans by a very wide margin by the end of the century. In fact America's per capita income will then have been surpassed not only by South Africa's, but also by that of other emerging economic powerhouses, including Algeria, Argentina, Libya, Turkey and North Korea." One of the statisticians notes that, "The total output of goods and services in South Africa in 2100, according to these downscaled [IPCC]. scenario projections, will be comparable to that of the entire world in 1990." To quote South Park"Dude, that's some pretty f@#&ed-up s*@% there." 3) The IPCC projections for the last ten years login to canvas student be shown to overestimate carbon dioxide emissions by a the highest result of education is tolerance meaning of 2. I'll just quote one of the documents fau business major flight plan "For fossil CO2 emissions, the standardized increase for the decade 1990 to 2000, calculated in the way explained in Box 5-1 was 0.91 GtC, or 15%. The most widely quoted estimate of the actual increase for the nine-year period 1990-99 (that published by the US Department of Energy-sponsored Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Centre) is 0.35 GtC, or 6%. On average, therefore, the four unadjusted marker scenarios appear to have overstated actual growth in fossil CO2 emissions in the 1990s by a factor of about 2 : a surprisingly wide margin having regard to the fact that trends in emissions for the greater part of the decade were already known at the time that the projections were produced." (my italics) Of course, I'm sure Extended essay structure will simply argue that since the IPCC report is in substantial compliance with known econometric techniques, it's fine the way it is. For the rest of us, it appears that the primary estimates for global warming have been grossly exaggerated.